• Keine Ergebnisse gefunden

What is an Ordinal Representation?

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2022

Aktie "What is an Ordinal Representation?"

Copied!
28
0
0

Wird geladen.... (Jetzt Volltext ansehen)

Volltext

(1)

Introduction to Decision Theory Representations

Professor L. Blume

Cornell University

(2)

What is an Ordinal Representation?

We are given a preference order ≻onX.

Definition. A utility representationof the preference order ≻is a function U :X →Rsuch that x≻y if and only if u(x)>u(y).

A representation is a numerical scaling — a thermometer to measure preference. Thus ifx is better thany,x gets a higher utility number thany, just as if New York City is hotter than Boston, NY gets a higher temperature number.

(3)

What is an Ordinal Representation?

We are given a preference order ≻onX.

Definition. A utility representationof the preference order ≻is a function U :X →Rsuch that x≻y if and only if u(x)>u(y).

A representation is a numerical scaling — a thermometer to measure preference. Thus ifx is better thany,x gets a higher utility number thany, just as if New York City is hotter than Boston, NY gets a higher temperature number.

New York is only slightly hotter than Boston, while Miami is much hotter than Cleveland.

T(Miami)−T(Cleveland)>T(New York)−T(Boston)>0

(4)

What is an Ordinal Representation?

We are given a preference order ≻onX.

Definition. A utility representationof the preference order ≻is a function U :X →Rsuch that x≻y if and only if u(x)>u(y).

A representation is a numerical scaling — a thermometer to measure preference. Thus ifx is better thany,x gets a higher utility number thany, just as if New York City is hotter than Boston, NY gets a higher temperature number.

New York is only slightly hotter than Boston, while Miami is much hotter than Cleveland.

T(Miami)−T(Cleveland)>T(New York)−T(Boston)>0

(5)

Ordinal Scales

Temperature has the following property:

Iff(x) andg(x) are two representations of temperature, then f(x) =ag(x) +b, with a>0.

Utility has the following property:

Ifu(x) andv(x) represent the same preference relation, then u(x) =f ◦v(x), wheref :R→Ris strictly increasing.

(6)

Why Have an Ordinal Representation?

Summary: An ordering is just a list of pairs, which is hard to grasp. A utility function is a convenient way of summarizing properties of the order. For instance, with expected utility preferences of the form U(p) =P

au(a)pa, risk aversion — not preferring a gamble to its expected value — is equivalent to the concavity ofu. The curvature ofu measures how risk-averse the decision-maker is.

Optimization: We want to find optimal elements of orders on feasible sets. Sometimes these are more easily computed with utility functions. For instance, ifU is C1 andB is of the form {x:F(x)≤0}, then optima

(7)

Then Why Have a Preference Relation?

Preferences, after all, are the primitive concept, and we don’t know that utility representations exist for all kinds of

preferences we’d want to talk about.

Some characteristic properties of classes of preferences are better understood by expressing them in terms of orderings.

Preferences are the primitive concept, and some properties of utility functions are not readily interpreted in terms of the preference order.

(8)

Do Ordinal Representations Exist?

There are really two questions to ask:

Does every preference order have a representation? More generally, what binary relations have numerical

representations?

Does every function from X to Rrepresent some preference order? That is for a given U :X →R, definex ≻U y iff U(x)>U(y). More generally, what properties does the binary relation ≻U have?

(9)

Do Ordinal Representations Exist?

There are really two questions to ask:

Does every preference order have a representation? More generally, what binary relations have numerical

representations?

Does every function from X to Rrepresent some preference order? That is for a given U :X →R, definex ≻U y iff U(x)>U(y). More generally, what properties does the binary relation ≻U have?

The second question is easy.

Theorem. For any domainX and function U :X →R, the binary relation ≻U is a preference order.

(10)

An Existence Theorem

Theorem. IfX is denumerable, every preference order has a representation.

(11)

Partial Orders

Indifference need not be transitive in a partial order, so there is no possibility of getting a full numerical representation.

e

a b

c d

(12)

Partial Orders

Indifference need not be transitive in a partial order, so there is no possibility of getting a full numerical representation.

e

a b

c d

a∼b,b ∼c anda≻c. If ≻had an ordinal representation U, then it would follow thatU(a) =U(b),U(b) =U(c), and U(a)>U(c), which is impossible.

(13)

Weak Representations I

Definition. A weakorone-way utility representation of the partial order ≻is a functionU :X →Rsuch that ifx ≻y, then

U(x)>U(y).

e

a b

c d

A one-way representation for the partial order ≻in Figure 1 isU(e) = 0, U(c) = 1, U(d) = 2, U(a) = 3 andU(b) = 4.

Another one-way representation is

V(e) = 0,V(c) = 2,V(d) = 1,V(a) = 3 and V(b) = 2.

(14)

Weak Representations II

Theorem. SupposeX is denumerable. If ≻is a partial order, then it has a weak utility representation.

The same construction used in the proof of the representation theorem for preference relations works here. Try it yourself.

(15)

Weak Representations III

If ≻is a partial order on a finite setX, thenC(B,≻) exists for all B ⊂X, and ifx ∈B maximizesU on B, thenx ∈C(B,≻).

However the converse is false. For instance, with the

representation U for the ≻of Figure 1, only b maximizes utility on {a,b,c,d,e} butC({a,b,c,d,e},≻) ={a,b}. With the

representation V, onlya maximizes utility on{a,b,c,d,e}. If there is a functionW that “gets it right” on every subset, then in particular it would get it right on every pair, and so ≻=≻U. Thus

≻ would have to be a preference order, which it evidently is not.

(16)

The Pareto Order

Let ≻i,i= 1, . . . ,n be a collection of preference orders, and define x ≻y iffx ≻i y for alli. This is the Pareto Order.

Is it asymmetric?

(17)

The Pareto Order

Let ≻i,i= 1, . . . ,n be a collection of preference orders, and define x ≻y iffx ≻i y for alli. This is the Pareto Order.

Is it asymmetric?

Is it transitive?

(18)

The Pareto Order

Let ≻i,i= 1, . . . ,n be a collection of preference orders, and define x ≻y iffx ≻i y for alli. This is the Pareto Order.

Is it asymmetric?

Is it transitive?

Is it negatively transitive?

(19)

The Pareto Order

Let ≻i,i= 1, . . . ,n be a collection of preference orders, and define x ≻y iffx ≻i y for alli. This is the Pareto Order.

Is it asymmetric?

Is it transitive?

Is it negatively transitive?

A “representation”. Let ui represent xi. Then x≻y iff for all i, ui(x)>ui(y).

(20)

Multiple Utility Representations

Definition. Amultiple-utility representationfor the partial order ≻ on a set X of alternatives is a set U of functions U :X →Rsuch that x ≻y iffU(x)>U(y) for all U ∈ U.

The pair (U,V) is a multiple utility representation for the order of the graph.

(21)

Multiple Utility Representations

Definition. Amultiple-utility representationfor the partial order ≻ on a set X of alternatives is a set U of functions U :X →Rsuch that x ≻y iffU(x)>U(y) for all U ∈ U.

Theorem. The binary relation≻on denumerable X has a multiple utility representation iff it is a partial order.

(22)

Non-Denumerable X

The Lexicographic order: Let X =R2+. Define the relation (x1,x2)≻(y1,y2) iff x1 >y1 or x1 =y1 and x2 >y2.

(23)

Order-Dense Preferences

Suppose there were a utility representation U. The top point tx on the line with first coordinate x must map to a higher number than the bottom point bx on that line. Now consider the collection of intervals

[U(bx),U(tx)] :x ≥0 . These intervals are all disjoint.

Furthermore, since they are non-degenerate, each contains a rational number. These rational numbers are all distinct, and we have one for each vertical line, so if a utility function exists, there must exist an uncountable collection of rational numbers.

Definition. A setZ ⊂X isorder-dense if and only if for each pair of elementsx,y ∈X/Z such thatx≻y there is az ∈Z such that x ≻z ≻y.

(24)

Representation Theorem

Theorem. For a preference order≻onX, a utility representation exists if and only if X contains a countable order-dense subset.

The existence of a countable order-dense set is an Archimedean assumption. It is required so that the preference order “fits in” to R. The setRis an example of an ordered field. The rational numbers are another example. There are also ordered fields that strictly contain R— the so-called hyperreal or non-standard numbers. One can show that if ≻is any preference relation, it can be represented in some ordered field. If X is uncountable, it certainly cannot be represented in Q, and in order to fit into R, it must be “small enough”. This is what order-denseness does.

(25)

Choice in Non-Denumerable Domains

What conditions of P(X) and ≻guarantee thatc(B,≻)6=∅ for all B ∈P(X)?

(26)

Choice in Non-Denumerable Domains

What conditions of P(X) and ≻guarantee thatc(B,≻)6=∅ for all B ∈P(X)?

Members of P(X) are finite sets, all≻.

(27)

Choice in Non-Denumerable Domains

What conditions of P(X) and ≻guarantee thatc(B,≻)6=∅ for all B ∈P(X)?

Members of P(X) are finite sets, all≻.

Members of P(X) are compact, upper semi-continuous ≻.

(28)

Choice in Non-Denumerable Domains

What conditions of P(X) and ≻guarantee thatc(B,≻)6=∅ for all B ∈P(X)?

Members of P(X) are finite sets, all≻.

Members of P(X) are compact, upper semi-continuous ≻.

Members of P(X) are compact, ≻has a continuous utility representation.

Referenzen

ÄHNLICHE DOKUMENTE

• augmented reality – with the help of see-through HMDs, additional information can be displayed to the user pointing his/her attention to important objects of the real world, showing

Here I will focus on the socio-political challenges of delegation and discuss how research and innovation in ADM should approach these challenges as well as what are the options

The criteria for the inclusion of participants and the making of decisions in EGAs are not generally compatible with the conventional norms for democratic legitimation used within

But what happens if the investor also codes part of the tax as a loss because (s)he is interested in maintaining the reference level at the pre-tax position? What happens if

it is rather a radical change in the orientation given to these systems. Thus, instead of searching for the election of representatives, what is sought is the creation and

Thus, the network flow approach pre- sented in this paper not only gives simpler existence proofs of the properties of trading networks (e.g., existence of competitive equilibrium,

Specifically, we employ a special module from the OeNB Euro Survey in 2020 to assess what kind of measures individuals took to mitigate negative effects of the pandemic and how

Both implants proved their function as a bone graft sub- stitute, but the bisphosphonate alendronate does not support the bone healing process sufficiently that the known properties